Conviction should follow confirmation. The only confirmation I see discussed around trading on Twitter are additional untested signals. My goal is to change that, at least a little bit. My goal is to promote scientific skepticism in the trading world. I apply Bayesian hypothesis…
Is "Sell in May and Go Away" Alpha?
Testing SqueezeMetrics GEX and DIX IndicesI previously looked at @SqueezeMetrics GEX and DIX indices to see if they had any casual impact on future returns in the S&P 500 index but my an…
If you don't put causality into your models, you won't get it out of them
A spotlight on a replacement for standard deviation and the existential value of science
Evaluating the use of the metal as a leading market indicator
How and why I attempt to separate signal from noise
In my previous report I messed up my result by introducing an auto-correlation false positive into my results. I've corrected my infrastructure to prev…
See all