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The Profits of Trading is in Dopamine, not Dollars
Pithy wisdom is for managing your "high", not your profit
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Matt
1
False Precision in Modelling
When I was younger I believed in a kind of physical determinism. I thought that if you knew exactly where everything was and exactly how fast it was…
 • 
confirmsignal
2
Position Sizing Based on Conviction or Volatility
I’ve developed an approach for position sizing that allows for conviction-adjusted sizing based on a quantitative measure of statistical significance. I…
Checking for Seasonality in the S&P 500
Is "Sell in May and Go Away" Alpha?
Testing SqueezeMetrics GEX and DIX Indices
I previously looked at @SqueezeMetrics GEX and DIX indices to see if they had any casual impact on future returns in the S&P 500 index but my an…
5
Don't Do Statistics Before Causality
If you don't put causality into your models, you won't get it out of them
Mean Absolute Deviation and MAD About Shaming Science
A spotlight on a replacement for standard deviation and the existential value of science
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Bayesian Statistical Testing of Trading Hypothesis

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