Don’t Lose Money Trading Noise
Few of the signals traded on today stand up to critical scrutiny. I believe that conviction should follow confirmation, and I don’t mean adding an additional untested signal.
I aim to take random chance out of our success and understand the value of our tools.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. If you don't have a statistical basis in your approach, your assurance of future results should be very poor.
My goal is to teach you to evaluate strategies like a Bayesian, so you can keep your money invested in things that work. To do that, I’ll illustrate the testing of public strategies.
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