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Bayesian Testing of Trading Ideas
Conviction should follow confirmation.
Aug 7, 2021
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confirm signal? sir, this is a casino
Bayesian Testing of Trading Ideas
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Reviewing My Own Lack of Skepticism
Good tools don't do much good if you use them wrong
Jul 8, 2024
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Matt
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Reviewing My Own Lack of Skepticism
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Evaluating Home Bias (In Hindsight) for Canadians
Should our wealth grow at home, or abroad?
Oct 2, 2023
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Matt
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Evaluating Home Bias (In Hindsight) for Canadians
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The Wicked Problem of Trading
Or, why I've been gone for a year
Jun 26, 2023
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Matt
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The Wicked Problem of Trading
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The Profits of Trading is in Dopamine, not Dollars
Pithy wisdom is for managing your "high", not your profit
Jul 24, 2022
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Matt
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The Profits of Trading is in Dopamine, not Dollars
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False Precision in Modelling
When I was younger I believed in a kind of physical determinism.
Jul 3, 2022
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confirmsignal
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False Precision in Modelling
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Position Sizing Based on Conviction or Volatility
I’ve developed an approach for position sizing that allows for conviction-adjusted sizing based on a quantitative measure of statistical significance.
Dec 26, 2021
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Position Sizing Based on Conviction or Volatility
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Checking for Seasonality in the S&P 500
Is "Sell in May and Go Away" Alpha?
Oct 2, 2021
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confirm signal? sir, this is a casino
Checking for Seasonality in the S&P 500
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confirm signal? sir, this is a casino
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