confirm signal? sir, this is a casino

confirm signal? sir, this is a casino

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Testing SqueezeMetrics GEX and DIX Indices
I previously looked at @SqueezeMetrics GEX and DIX indices to see if they had any casual impact on future returns in the S&P 500 index but my an…
Sep 25, 2021
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confirm signal? sir, this is a casino
confirm signal? sir, this is a casino
Testing SqueezeMetrics GEX and DIX Indices
5
Position Sizing Based on Conviction or Volatility
I’ve developed an approach for position sizing that allows for conviction-adjusted sizing based on a quantitative measure of statistical significance.
Dec 26, 2021
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confirm signal? sir, this is a casino
confirm signal? sir, this is a casino
Position Sizing Based on Conviction or Volatility
Reviewing My Own Lack of Skepticism
Good tools don't do much good if you use them wrong
Jul 8, 2024 • 
Matt
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confirm signal? sir, this is a casino
confirm signal? sir, this is a casino
Reviewing My Own Lack of Skepticism
Checking for Seasonality in the S&P 500
Is "Sell in May and Go Away" Alpha?
Oct 2, 2021

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confirm signal? sir, this is a casino
confirm signal? sir, this is a casino
Checking for Seasonality in the S&P 500
False Precision in Modelling
When I was younger I believed in a kind of physical determinism.
Jul 3, 2022 • 
confirmsignal
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confirm signal? sir, this is a casino
confirm signal? sir, this is a casino
False Precision in Modelling
2
The Wicked Problem of Trading
Or, why I've been gone for a year
Jun 26, 2023 • 
Matt
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confirm signal? sir, this is a casino
confirm signal? sir, this is a casino
The Wicked Problem of Trading
2
My Analysis Approach and What Motivated It
How and why I attempt to separate signal from noise
Aug 14, 2021
1

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confirm signal? sir, this is a casino
confirm signal? sir, this is a casino
My Analysis Approach and What Motivated It
The Profits of Trading is in Dopamine, not Dollars
Pithy wisdom is for managing your "high", not your profit
Jul 24, 2022 • 
Matt

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confirm signal? sir, this is a casino
confirm signal? sir, this is a casino
The Profits of Trading is in Dopamine, not Dollars
1
Primer on Conditional Probability
When testing RSI I used conditional probability as my statistical tool, thinking that keeping it to high school level statistics would make the analysis…
Jul 12, 2021
1

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confirm signal? sir, this is a casino
confirm signal? sir, this is a casino
Primer on Conditional Probability
Mean Absolute Deviation and MAD About Shaming Science
A spotlight on a replacement for standard deviation and the existential value of science
Aug 29, 2021

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confirm signal? sir, this is a casino
confirm signal? sir, this is a casino
Mean Absolute Deviation and MAD About Shaming Science
Don't Do Statistics Before Causality
If you don't put causality into your models, you won't get it out of them
Sep 19, 2021

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confirm signal? sir, this is a casino
confirm signal? sir, this is a casino
Don't Do Statistics Before Causality
Taking the Temperature of Dr. Copper
Evaluating the use of the metal as a leading market indicator
Aug 22, 2021

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confirm signal? sir, this is a casino
confirm signal? sir, this is a casino
Taking the Temperature of Dr. Copper
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