Confirm Signal Newsletter

Home
Archive
About
Evaluating Home Bias (In Hindsight) for Canadians
Should our wealth grow at home, or abroad?
 • 
Matt

June 2023

The Wicked Problem of Trading
Or, why I've been gone for a year
 • 
Matt
2

July 2022

The Profits of Trading is in Dopamine, not Dollars
Pithy wisdom is for managing your "high", not your profit
 • 
Matt
1
False Precision in Modelling
When I was younger I believed in a kind of physical determinism. I thought that if you knew exactly where everything was and exactly how fast it was…
 • 
confirmsignal
2

December 2021

October 2021

Checking for Seasonality in the S&P 500
Is "Sell in May and Go Away" Alpha?

September 2021

Testing SqueezeMetrics GEX and DIX Indices
I previously looked at @SqueezeMetrics GEX and DIX indices to see if they had any casual impact on future returns in the S&P 500 index but my an…
5
Don't Do Statistics Before Causality
If you don't put causality into your models, you won't get it out of them

August 2021

Mean Absolute Deviation and MAD About Shaming Science
A spotlight on a replacement for standard deviation and the existential value of science
Taking the Temperature of Dr. Copper
Evaluating the use of the metal as a leading market indicator
My Analysis Approach and What Motivated It
How and why I attempt to separate signal from noise
Bayesian Testing of Trading Ideas
Conviction should follow confirmation. The only confirmation I see discussed around trading on Twitter are additional untested signals. My goal is to…
© 2024 Confirm Signal
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start WritingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture